Don’t count on goals in Germany
Bet 1: Back Under 2.5 Goals in RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich @ 11/8 – KO 19:00 BST
The DFB Pokal Final comes from Berlin this evening and contrary to popular opinion, I don’t believe that there will be a glut of goals.
Bayern are going for the double having seen off Dortmund to lift the Bundesliga title, but they haven’t won the cup for the last two years.
Leipzig are one of the emerging forces of German football and they finished in a solid third position in the league this season – eight points clear of fourth.
German football is renowned for goals, but finals are often tense affairs, and it’s worth noting that the last five meetings between these two teams have finished 0-0, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0 and 1-1.
The value is definitely on a low-scoring affair and the 11/8 has to be taken.
Napoli’s winning run to come to an end
Bet 2: Back Bologna and Draw @ 10/11 – KO 19:30 BST
The fixture between Bologna and Napoli is an end of season affair with nothing really on the line. The hosts can still climb a couple of places though, and given their excellent recent home record, I can’t see them being beaten.
Siniša Mihajlović’s side have won their last six on the bounce in front of their own fans, an they also drew 3-3 at Lazio on Monday. They haven’t just been winning at home either, they have been destroying their opponents – scoring a minimum of two goals, with all bar one winning margin above one goal.
The visitors are finishing their campaign in fine fashion as they have won their last four, including a 4-1 success against Inter last weekend.
This won’t be easy for Carlo Ancelotti’s men though, and there is every chance that he will give a couple of fringe players a go.
Barca to gain some compensation in the Copa del Rey
Bet 3: Back Barcelona @ 4/6 – KO 20:00 BST
The pressure is on Ernesto Valverde ahead of the Copa del Rey Final, and given how Barcelona’s season is ending, a defeat here could spell the end of his tenure at the Nou Camp.
Luckily for him, he has the services of Lionel Messi, and if anyone can drag them through a game it is him. Luis Suarez and Ousmane Dembélé are out injured, but Messi is Messi, and he so often rises to the occasion.
Valencia finished their La Liga campaign with three straight wins to pip Getafe and Sevilla to a Champions League place, but they also lost both legs to Arsenal in the Europa League.
Source: Betfair Spanish La Liga
