Friday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for Premier League and more

“Both teams to score is 1.991/1 as a standalone bet. Southampton beat Everton 2-0 in their last outing, but both teams to score had landed in each of their previous ten games.”

AC Milan 1.51/2 v Udinese 8.07/1, the Draw 4.67/2
17:45
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In the first of two big Friday night matches in the Serie A title race leaders Milan host Udinese.

Chloe Beresford says: “Udinese have failed to win 10 of their last 11 away matches in Serie A and have failed to score a single goal in the last three of those games, so it is no surprise to see that the Infogol model gives them just a 14% chance of victory here.

“Milan were held to a draw by Salernitana last time out, but should have enough to secure a win on home soil this Friday night.”

Chloe’s bet: Back 2-0 @ 6.5

Hoffenheim 1.584/7 v Stuttgart 6.25/1, the Draw 4.77/2
19:30
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The Bundesliga weekend gets underway on Friday night as striggling Stuttgart travel to Hoffenheim.

Kevin Hatchard says: “This is a tough time to be a Stuttgart fan. Last weekend, the southern giants were moments away from securing what would have been only their fifth league win of the season, but the usually excellent Dinos Mavropanos conceded a clumsy penalty. Eduard Löwen stroked home the spot-kick to snatch a 1-1 draw for Bochum, and Stuttgart remain four points from safety.

“To make matters worse, Stuttgart’s star player Silas will miss the rest of the campaign with a shoulder injury, which is a total disaster. Silas and giant striker Sasa Kalajdzic have barely featured this term, and as a result, Pellegrino Matarazzo’s men have scored just 27 goals in 23 games. The coach has suggested that his players will improve as sportsmen and indeed men if they come through this situation, but they need to press the accelerator soon, with just 11 matchdays left.

“A trip to southern neighbours Hoffenheim isn’t exactly appealing. The Sinsheim side produced a super comeback win at Wolfsburg last weekend, and they are chasing a third straight league victory. Only goal difference is keeping TSG out of the Champions League spots, and on home soil they have won seven of their last nine.“

Kevin’s bet: Back Hoffenheim -1.0 on the Asian Handicap v Stuttgart at 1.98

Southampton 1.594/7 v Norwich 6.611/2, the Draw 4.47/2
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

A trip to in-form Saints will be tricky for bottom club Norwich but our previewer can see them getting on the scoresheet.

Dan Fitch says: “As well as Southampton have been playing, they look a little slim in the match odds against a Norwich side that were also in good form until their recent losses against the Premier League’s top two.

“Norwich won away at Wolves in the Fourth Round of the FA Cup, with Wolves being the only team to have beaten Southampton in the last 11 games.

“Norwich also took the lead away at Liverpool, before the hosts fought back to win 3-1. Though in good form, Southampton still concede regularly, having let in goals in 15 of their last 16 matches. That could be key to finding some value in a home win, with a Southampton victory and both teams to score available at 3.4.

“Both teams to score is 1.99 as a standalone bet. Southampton beat Everton 2-0 in their last outing, but both teams to score had landed in each of their previous ten games.”

Dan’s bet: Back Southampton and both teams to score @ 3.4

Genoa 10.519/2 v Inter 1.374/11, the Draw 5.59/2
20:00
Live on Betfair Live Video

The Serie A champions need to bring to an end a poor run and for that they may have the ideal opponents.

Chloe says: “Inter have managed to win just one of their last four league games, so should welcome a trip to Genoa in this round of action.

“They have beaten the Rossoblu in each of their last seven meetings without conceding a single goal, and the home side come into this clash having failed to win any of their last 23 Serie A matches.”

Chloe’s bet: Back 0-2 @ 6.0

Levante 2.1411/10 v Elche 3.953/1, the Draw 3.55/2
20:00
Live on Betfair Live Video

Game week 26 kicks off in La Liga on Friday night as Levante bid to make it three without defeat.

Tom Victor says: “Levante still have some way to go before they can seriously consider survival as an option, but three points against Elche would make it seven from a possible nine and give them hope.

“The visitors are still averaging 2.11 xGA on their travels, and Infogol’s model anticipates a home win which could take Alessio Lisci’s team within six points of survival if other results go their way.”

Tom’s bet: Back 1-1 @ 7.20 or 2-1 @ 10.00