and have won just one of their last four matches in the league, a 1-0 win at home to Arsenal.
It may also be the case that United are a good match-up for City. Pep Guardiola’s men don’t enjoy playing sides who are tight at the back and don’t let City hit them on the break. It could be a frustrating afternoon for them and will certainly be a good physical test.
But rather than lay City at that price, I’ll go with the Blades to either avoid defeat or lose the game narrowly. Backing United +1.5 at 21/202.04 means you have the home win, the draw and the defeat by a single goal on your side and that will do me just fine.
Without wanting to go on about it too much, City are for my money unlikely to score too many because of Aguero and Jesus’ absences. Not only is Sterling not as effective as Aguero in particular but the fact he has to play there means they’re deprived of his skills in his best position on the left.
United don’t score many anyway and City may be a bit tired. There’s also the fact that none of City’s last three have gone over 2.5 goals. I’d definitely be in the ‘unders’ camp at 8/52.58 if I were to play this market.
I said I didn’t think it was going to be a particularly high-scoring game but I’ll take the safety blanket of going with under 3.5 goals (13/20) rather than under 2.5 goals, as the first part of a same-game multi.
City managed six, 10 and 10 corners in their three away games so far and throughout the whole of last season, managed seven or more corners in 58% of their away matches. It’s 6/10 they get over 6.5 corners on the away total corners market and that completes the double, which comes to 2.47.
Source: BetFair Tips
