Chloe Beresford uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action continues in Italy’s top flight.
Six of the last nine Serie A games between these two has ended in a draw, but Juventus are undefeated in their last 22 home matches against Atalanta in all competitions while the Bergamaschi have won seven of their last eight away league games.
Bottom two seek survival
Cagliari v Salernitana
Friday November 26, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2
Winning just once in their last six games has seen Salernitana sink to the bottom of Serie A, but Friday night sees them visit the one team arguably in worse form. In a streak that stretches back to last season, Cagliari have managed to record only one victory in their last 16 games, and they sit just one place above their next opponents thanks to a slightly better goal difference. Something may have to give here too as Cagliari have conceded at least two goals in 11 of their 13 matches this term, while Salernitana have failed to score in any of their last three.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 1-1 @ 6.511/2
Fiorentina flying high
Empoli v Fiorentina
Saturday November 27, 14:00
This all-Tuscan clash sees Fiorentina looking to improve their recent away record, with Vincenzo Italiano’s men having failed to score in their last three matches on the road. However, it must be noted that the last two of those were against Juventus and Lazio, with the Viola showing in last week’s win over Milan that their improvement is now tangible. As a result, look for them to punish an Empoli side who have managed just one victory in their seven home games and have conceded at least two goals in each of those matches.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 0-2 @ 11.010/1
Samp suffering to continue
Sampdoria v Hellas Verona
Saturday November 27, 14:00
This has been a tough season so far for Sampdoria, who have notched just one win at Marassi, as they prepare to take on a Verona outfit who are yet to win an away game. However, Igor Tudor has them flying in recent weeks and they managed to hold Napoli 1-1 in their last game on the road, perhaps making this an ideal week to catch them with a good value bet. It is also worth noting that there have been over 2.5 goals scored in Samp’s last six home games and in eight of Verona’s last 10 games overall.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 1-2 @ 9.08/1
Goals galore in Turin
Juventus v Atalanta
Saturday November 27, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Six of the last nine Serie A games between these two has ended in a draw, but Juventus are undefeated in their last 22 home matches against Atalanta in all competitions while the Bergamaschi have won seven of their last eight away league games. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in eight of Atalanta’s last nine games and in four of Juve’s last six, so another high scoring encounter should be on the cards.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 8.07/1
Inter too strong?
Venezia v Inter
Saturday November 27, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
The Infogol model gives the home side just an 18% chance of winning this match which, given Inter have lost just two of their last 35 matches in Serie A, should not be a surprise. The Nerazzurri beat Shakhtar Donetsk on Wednesday and have also done well following their four previous Champions League matches this season, recording two wins and two draws.
But it should be noted that Venezia have already shown they can spring an upset, already notching victories over Roma and Fiorentina at the Stadio Penzo.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 0-1 @ 7.513/2
Udinese to get better of the Grifone
Udinese v Genoa
Sunday November 28, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 2
Having failed to record a victory in any of their last 10 fixtures, the Infogol model gives just a 31% chance that Genoa win this game. While Udinese have managed just one victory in their last 10 outings, they have only lost twice at home this season and have not lost any of their last six meetings with Genoa in Udine.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 8.07/1
Injuries starting to hurt Milan
AC Milan v Sassuolo
Sunday November 28, 14:00
Live on BT Sport 2
After only dropping two points in their first 11 games of the season, Milan’s have since drawn with Inter and lost to Fiorentina, a lengthy injury list beginning to take a toll on Stefano Pioli’s squad. The Infogol model gives them just a 51% chance of victory here, the Rossoneri preparing to take on a Sassuolo side who beat them at San Siro on their last visit back in April.
The Neroverdi are unbeaten in their last two away games which includes last month’s victory at Juventus Stadium, while they have also scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches, but have also conceded at least twice in five of their last six away games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-2 @ 12.011/1
Bologna to bounce back
Spezia v Bologna
Sunday November 28, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 2
Having won their two previous games, Bologna will be looking to bounce back from last weekend’s loss to Venezia when they take on 17th-placed Spezia on Sunday. The Infogol model gives the visitors a 51% chance of victory, while it also believes there is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals, a total Spezia have seen in all but three of their last 17 Serie A fixtures.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 1-2 @ 9.517/2
Toro poor away from home
AS Roma v Torino
Sunday November 28, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Torino have really struggled on their travels this season, and there have been under 2.5 goals scored in their last five Serie A away games. That has mostly been because of their own poor form in front of goal too, losing their last three away games by the same 0-1 scoreline that has seen them fail to notch a single time, and they have managed just three goals in six away fixtures this season.
It is also worth noting that none of the last 11 league encounters between these two sides has ended in a draw, with the Infogol model giving Roma a 63% chance of victory in this meeting at the Stadio Olimpico.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 2-0 @ 7.513/2
Sarri to continue strong record against old club
Napoli v Lazio
Sunday November 28, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
With five wins and one draw at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli are now undefeated in their last 17 home matches, while Lazio have surprisingly managed just one win in their last 10 away games in Serie A.
Yet Maurizio Sarri has an impressive record against his former side, losing just one of the four encounters with them during his time at Empoli and Juve, a record he would surely love to extend here.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 1-2 @ 13.012/1
Source: BetFair Tips
