Chloe uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action resumes in Italy’s top flight…
Cagliari have won just one of their last five home games, while Milan are undefeated in their last seven away matches in Serie A
More goals at the Mapei
Sassuolo v Spezia
Friday March 18, 17:45
Live on BT Sport Extra 3
A high scoring encounter could be on the cards here, with the Infogol model giving a 63% chance that this game sees over 2.5 goals. Sassuolo have seen over that total in 20 of their last 23 games in Serie A, with the Neroverdi scoring two or more themselves in each of the last five.
Recent encounters between these two sides have been full of goals too, with their last three meetings seeing them share no fewer than 12 goals.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Sassuolo to win 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Do they draw again?
Genoa v Torino
Friday March 18, 20:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 3
Alexander Blessin has been in charge of Genoa for seven matches, and the Grifone have drawn each of those fixtures while scoring just two goals in total under their new boss. With Torino having seen under 2.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 away games, this should undoubtedly be a tense affair.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Torino to win 1-0 @ 7.06/1
Napoli to nick it
Napoli v Udinese
Saturday March 19, 14:00
Sitting second and just three points behind Milan, Napoli will hope to keep their good form going on Saturday afternoon. Luciano Spalletti’s men have lost just one of their last 10 games, and should be confident of beating an Udinese side who have managed just one win in their last 12 away matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Napoli’s last 6 home games, with the Infogol model giving Udinese – who have found the net just once in their last five away games – just a 14% chance of winning this clash.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Napoli to win to nil @ 6.511/2
Inter can’t lose
Inter v Fiorentina
Saturday March 19, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 3
Two wins in their last eight games has seen Inter knocked out of the Champions League and drop to third place in the Serie A table, meaning they desperately need a win this weekend to get back on track.
Standing in their way however is a Fiorentina side who look re-energised in recent weeks and who have only lost one of their last five away games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back a 2-2 draw @ 14.013/1
Milan maintain momentum
Cagliari v AC Milan
Saturday March 19, 19:45
Live on BT Sport ESPN UK
Cagliari have climbed out of the drop zone and sit 16th, despite the fact they have won just one of their last five home games, while Milan are undefeated in their last seven away matches in Serie A and will hope to build on their three-point lead at the top of the table.
The Rossoneri have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last three games, so expect them to emerge from another close contest here against the relegation-threatened Sardinian side who have won only one of their last 36 meetings with Milan.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Milan to win 2-0 @ 8.07/1
Struggling sides collide
Venezia v Sampdoria
Sunday March 20, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 1
Fears of relegation will be haunting both teams as 16th-placed Sampdoria visit a Venezia side who sit two places and four points below them going into this weekend’s action.
‘Doria have lost eight of their last 10 matches in Serie A, but Venezia have managed just one win in their last 15.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Venezia to win 2-1 @ 9.517/2
High scoring Hellas
Empoli v Hellas Verona
Sunday March 20, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 1
There could be an entertaining game on the cards here as there have been over 2.5 goals scored in eight of Verona’s last 10 games in Serie A, while Empoli have seen over that total in seven of their last eight at home.
Empoli have failed to win their last 12 matches, so this could well be a tough outing for the Tuscan side who have slumped down to 13th place after a bright start to the season.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Hellas Verona to win 2-1 @ 8.515/2
Salernitana struggling
Juventus v Salernitana
Sunday March 20, 14:00
Live on BT Sport 2
There is not much hope for Salernitana, who go into this match sitting rock bottom of the Serie A table after winning just one of their last 18 games. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in nine of Salernitana’s last 11 games, but under 2.5 in each of Juve’s last nine home games.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Juventus to win 2-0 @ 5.04/1
Rome derby rarely disappoints
AS Roma v Lazio
Sunday March 20, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Rome will be ready for yet another tempestuous derby clash as the capital’s two teams go head-to-head once again. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Lazio’s last 12 away games, with Maurizio Sarri’s men keeping a clean sheet in six of their last eight league outings.
Meanwhile, Roma are unbeaten in their last eight and have only lost one of their last six derbies as the “home” side.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Roma to win 2-1 @ 9.08/1
Bergamaschi looking for a boost
Bologna v Atalanta
Sunday March 20, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2
The Infogol model gives Bologna just a 22% chance of winning here, and it is easy to see why after they managed just one victory in their last nine outings. However, Atalanta have struggled of late too, failing to score a single goal in any of their last three away matches and winning just one of their last eight in Serie A.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Bologna’s last three games and in Atalanta’s last three away games, so this could well be a tight affair.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Atalanta to win 2-0 @ 8.515/2
Source: BetFair Tips
