Abraham to get Chelsea rolling
Laca to come good
Arsenal vs Sheffield United
Sunday, 14:00
Goalscorer: Alexandre Lacazette to score first @ 7/2
Arsenal’s main attacking threat, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, has been kept very quiet in their last two outings, with it being Alexandre Lacazette who has led Arsenal’s charge this term. The Frenchman has netted three times so far from chances equating to 2.4 xG (6 shots). To put that into context at this early stage of the season, Aubameyang has taken four shots equating to 0.27 xG. So basically, Laca is getting in better scoring positions than his mate, and he is a bigger price to open the scoring in this one.
Card: George Baldock to be booked @ 5/2
In what I expect to be a closely fought affair with few goals, we could see quote a few niggly fouls between two teams who play in similar systems. Looking at the potential match-ups, I think George Baldock could have a tough task down the Blades right. The proposition of Bukayo Saka and a Kieran Tierney overlap could spell trouble for Baldock, who has conceded 2.3 fouls/avg match this season so far.
Same Game Multi: Under 2.5 Goals and Alexandre Lacazette 2+ shots on target @ 4.92
I don’t think this will be an overly exciting game in terms of goals, as I spoke about on this weeks Football…Only Bettor, so under 2.5 goals appeals. Arsenal don’t take too many shots, but Lacazette has taken six shots this season and hit the target five times (1.99/avg match). He appears to be their focal point at the moment, so I’m happy to chance him to have 2+ shots on target.
Fernandes to make his mark
Manchester United vs Tottenham
Sunday, 16:30
Goalscorer: Bruno Fernandes to score anytime @ 15/8
To put it simply, Manchester United have been poor since the league started. They were given a gift of a penalty last weekend against Brighton, which was duly dispatched by Bruno Fernandes. He is one of the only United players that is playing with the tenacity we saw post-break, and if anything is to happen for United, it is likely to come through him. The fact he takes penalties is a huge plus, as with the likes of Rashford, Martial and Greenwood running at this Spurs defence, the chance of a penalty being given is high. His price to score looks big to me, as does Harry Kane (8/5).
Card: Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg to be booked @ 12/5
Given Spurs’ ridiculously harsh schedule, with a crazy fixture pile-up, I expect United to be the aggressors in this game. That means the likes of Fernandes and Pogba will be running the show, and playing passes behind Spurs’ defensive midfield, or driving past them. Hojbjerg has been booked only once so far this season, but is giving away 2.9 fouls/avg match. He could find himself in the book and the price about that looks juicy.
Same Game Multi: BTTS, Over 2.5 Goals, Harry Kane 1+ shot on target and Bruno Fernandes 1+ shot on target @ [3.45]
Given what we have seen from Manchester United defensively so far this season, I think we could be in for a few goals at Old Trafford. Spurs have shown their attacking capabilities of late, but the tiredness could be a factor and mean they too look vulnerable at the back. There is no Son for Spurs, so Kane will be their main danger, and he should test David de Gea, and Fernandes loves a pop from distance as well as getting in dangerous scoring positions.
Source: BetFair Tips
