Champions League: The possible permutations ahead of the final group games

Julen Lopetegui 956.jpg

Lots of teams still have a chance of qualifying for the Champions League Round of 16, while top spot needs to be decided in some groups. Mike Norman has all the possible permutations…

Bayern Munich will finish top of the group regardless of other results so all eyes will be on Barcelona as they aim to avoid group stage elimination.”

Group B – Three teams chasing runner-up spot

Porto v Atletico Madrid, Tuesday 20:00
AC Milan v Liverpool, Tuesday 20:00

Liverpool will finish top of Group B regardless of results in Gameweek 6 with the only matter to be decided being who finishes as runner-up.

AC Milan will qualify if they beat Liverpool and Porto v Atletico Madrid ends in a draw
Porto will qualify if they beat Atletico Madrid
Porto will also qualify if they draw and Milan fail to beat Liverpool
Atletico Madrid will qualify if they beat Porto and Milan fail to beat Liverpool

To Qualify Odds (Sportsbook)

– 8/11 Porto
– 21/10 Atletico Madrid
– 10/3 AC Milan

Group D – Top spot to be decided

Real Madrid v Inter Milan, Tuesday 20:00

Both Real Madrid and Inter Milan have already qualified meaning the only matter outstanding is who finishes top of the group.

Real Madrid will win the group if they avoid defeat against Inter Milan
Inter Milan will win the group if they beat Real Madrid

Group D Winner Odds (Sportsbook)

– 1/5 Real Madrid
– 11/4 Inter Milan

Group E – Barca in danger of elimination

Bayern Munich v Barcelona, Wednesday 20:00
Benfica v Dynamo Kiev, Wednesday 20:00

Bayern Munich will finish top of the group regardless of other results so all eyes will be on Barcelona as they aim to avoid group stage elimination.

Barcelona will qualify if they at least match Benfica’s result v Dynamo Kiev
Benfica will qualify if they beat Dynamo Kiev and Barcelona don’t beat Bayern Munich

To Qualify Odds (Sportsbook)

– 4/6 Benfica
– Evs Barcelona

Group F – Straight fight for second place

Atalanta v Villarreal, Wednesday 20:00

They were in danger of facing elimination before their last Champions League game but instead Manchester United have secured top spot with a game to spare. It’s now a straight fight between Atalanta and Villarreal for the runner-up spot.

Villarreal will qualify if they avoid defeat to Atalanta
Atalanta will qualify if they beat Villarreal

To Qualify Odds (Sportsbook)

– 4/5 Atalanta
– 10/11 Villarreal

Group G – All four can still qualify

Wolfsburg v Lille, Wednesday 20:00
RB Salzburg v Sevilla, Wednesday 20:00

A wide open group with all four teams still able to qualify as either group winners or runners-up. It could get very complicated with three teams possibly finishing on eight points meaning head-to-head results will then come into play.

Lille will qualify if they avoid defeat against Wolfsburg
Lille will win the group if they beat Wolfsburg or if they draw and RB Salzburg fail to win
RB Salzburg will qualify if they avoid defeat against Sevilla
RB Salzburg will win the group if they beat Sevilla and Lille fail to win
Sevilla will qualify if they beat RB Salzburg
Sevilla will win the group if they beat RB Salzburg and Lille lost to Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg will qualify if they beat Lille
Wolfsburg will win the group if they beat Lille and Sevilla v RB Salzburg ends in a draw

Group G Winner Odds (Exchange)

2.01/1 Lille
3.55/2 RB Salzburg
4.84/1 Sevilla
7.26/1 Wolfsburg

Group H – Blues or Juve for top spot

Zenit v Chelsea, Wednesday 19:45
Juventus v Malmo, Wednesday 19:45

Both Chelsea and Juventus have qualified to the Round of 16 and the only matter that remains is who will finish top of the group.

Chelsea will win the group if the at least match Juventus’ result v Malmo
Juventus will win the group if they better Chelsea’s result v Zenit

Group H Winner Odds (Sportsbook)

– 4/9 Chelsea
– 6/4 Juventus

Source: BetFair Tips