Chloe Beresford uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in this midweek round of Serie A as the final Italian top flight gameweek of the year gets underway.
Inter have won 22 of their last 24 home matches in Serie A, and have kept a clean sheet in each of their five.
Sorry Salernitana
Udinese v Salernitana
Tuesday December 21, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 2
A win over Cagliari on Sunday was just Udinese’s second victory in their last 15 league games, and there have been under 2.5 goals scored in five of their last six on home soil. Yet they should be good enough to topple rock bottom Salernitana, who have failed to score in seven of their last eight and have lost all of those matches. They were trailing at both half time and full time in six of their last seven too.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Genoa going nowhere
Genoa v Atalanta
Tuesday December 21, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 3
Genoa have failed to win any of their last 15 matches in Serie A, and they have only managed to score in two of their last six home matches. In fact, only Salernitana (5) have netted fewer times on home soil this season than Genoa’s poor tally of just eight, which is hardly ideal when taking on the league’s second-most prolific attack.
Indeed, Atalanta – who have won each of their last six away matches – have bagged 38 goals in their first 18 games of the season, and have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last seven games away to Genoa in all competitions.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 0-3 @ 10.09/1
Juve back to crushing minnows
Juventus v Cagliari
Tuesday December 21, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2
They might not be flying high in the table, but Max Allegri has once again got his side notching comfortable wins over teams at the bottom, recently dispatching Salernitana, Genoa and Bologna with ease.
The Bianconeri have kept a clean sheet in five of their last seven, seeing under 2.5 goals in each of those outings, while Cagliari have failed to win any of their last 10 games and the Infogol model gives them just an 8% chance of victory here.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Sass starting to sizzle?
Sassuolo v Bologna
Wednesday December 22, 15:30
Live on BT Sport 2
The Infogol model gives Bologna just a 23% chance of winning this match, despite the fact that these two teams are surprisingly level on points.
That is largely due to them arriving at this match in very different moods. Sassuolo are undefeated in their last six games and there have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 12, while Bologna are on a three-game losing streak.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 8.07/1
Lazio too strong
Venezia v Lazio
Wednesday December 22, 15:30
Live on BT Sport 1
The Infogol model gives Lazio a 60% chance of victory here, and it is easy to see why. Maurizio Sarri’s men have seen over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last six away games in Serie A, while Venezia have failed to win their last five matches. With Lazio failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their Serie A away games this season, it is definitely worth considering the both teams to score market here.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 1-2 @ 7.513/2
Jose getting it done
AS Roma v Sampdoria
Wednesday December 22, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 1
Despite some inconsistent results, Roma find themselves in fifth place, a record built on solid home form that has seen them keep a clean sheet in five of their last seven outings at the Stadio Olimpico.
The Infogol model gives them just an 18% chance of losing here, and it should be noted that the Giallorossi have won six of their last seven home matches against Sampdoria in all competitions. The season has been tough for ‘Doria thus far, and there have been over 2.5 goals scored in six of their last seven away games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Can La Viola fire?
Hellas Verona v Fiorentina
Wednesday December 22, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 3
Hellas have been impressive at the Bentegodi in recent weeks, losing just one of their last seven games there as Igor Tudor has moulded them into exactly the kind of tough-to-beat outfit the Verona fans adore.
Yet Fiorentina are soaring too, sitting sixth in the table and having won seven of their last eight away matches against Verona in all competitions. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in nine of Hellas’ last 10 home games in Serie A, while Fiorentina have seen over that tally in each of their last six.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 1-2 @ 9.08/1
Low score at San Siro
Inter v Torino
Wednesday December 22, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 2
The Infogol model gives Inter a 72% chance of winning this clash and just an 11% chance of defeat, the Serie A champions showing no sign of relenting as they have marched back to the top of the table.
Inter have won 22 of their last 24 home matches in Serie A, have been winning at both half time and full time in their last six league games and have kept a clean sheet in each of their five. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Torino’s last seven away games, so this could well be a low scoring affair as San Siro hosts its last official fixture of 2021.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 2-0 @ 6.511/2
Milan might struggle
Empoli v AC Milan
Wednesday December 22, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Empoli are ninth in Serie A after some impressive displays, but they have usually struggled against the division’s better teams. They have also been better away from home, with five of their seven losses this season coming on home soil, while Milan have lost just one away game so far this term.
Milan are undefeated in their last nine away matches against Empoli in all competitions, while they have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last six against the Tuscan side.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 1-2 @ 8.07/1
Napoli to win
Napoli v Spezia
Wednesday December 22, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 3
Winless in their last six overall, Spezia have been losing at both half time and full time in their last six away matches too. As a result, the Infogol model gives them just a 10% chance of victory here against a Napoli outfit who still sit second in the table despite winning just two of their last six matches in Serie A.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 8.07/1
Source: Betfair Italian
