Chloe uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action continues in Italy’s top flight.
“Napoli have won their last seven away matches in Serie A and have scored at least two goals in each of them, while also leading at both HT and FT in six of those outings.”
Relegation battle already
Cagliari v Venezia
Friday October 1, 19:45
Live on BT Sport Extra
This Friday night clash sees two of Serie A’s bottom three sides go head to head in Sardinia, with each arriving after losing four of their opening six matches of the season. Cagliari have replaced their Coach Leonardo Semplici with former Watford boss Walter Mazzarri, but results have not improved and they have failed to win any of their last night league games in total.
Cagliari have also conceded at least two goals in every match so far this term, but are taking on a Venezia side who have scored just four times in 2021/22.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 1-1 @ 7.06/1
A win at last
Salernitana v Genoa
Saturday October 2, 14:00
Life has not been easy in the top flight for Salernitana, managing just one draw and five defeats so far this season. Yet Genoa have struggled too, with one win, two draws and four losses on their record so far, and the Infogol model favours the home side to finally get their first victory of the season.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 10.09/1
I Bianconeri are back?
Torino v Juventus
Saturday October 2, 17:00
Live on ESPN UK
It might not get the attention of the rivalries in Milan or Rome, but the Turin Derby is a must-see clash for fans of Serie A. Given that Juve suddenly bounced back into form this week, there will be even more intrigue as the Bianconeri look to show that their win over Chelsea was the spark they needed to kickstart what has been a disappointing start to the campaign.
The Infogol model gives them a 66% chance of winning this match, undoubtedly shaped by the fact Juve are undefeated in their last 14 matches against Torino in all competitions. It is also worth noting that while there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Torino’s last three games, they have seen over 2.5 goals in their last three matches against Juventus in all competitions.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 1-3 @ 13.012/1
Tough test for Inter
Sassuolo v Inter
Saturday October 2, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Having been held to draws in each of their last two outings, Inter need a win here and will hope Simone Inzaghi can continue the streak that Antonio Conte started against Sassuolo. The now departed manager won on both his visits to the Mapei Stadium, ending something of a hoodo for the Nerazzurri who had previous suffered three defeats in four games there prior to his arrival.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Inter’s last 10 games in Serie A, and the last four meetings between these two sides have seen an incredible 19 goals.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-2 @ 11.010/1
Lazio looking good
Bologna v Lazio
Sunday October 3, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 3
Lazio will be full of confidence following last weekend’s win over city rivals Roma, and Maurizio Sarri’s men are now on a three-match unbeaten run in Serie A. Things are not going as well for Bologna however, their last three outings seeing a draw with Genoa sandwiched between losing 6-2 to Inter and 4-2 to Empoli. That means Bologna have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six home matches in Serie A, a trend that is tipped to continue here.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 1-3 @ 13.012/1
Samp surprisingly strong
Sampdoria v Udinese
Sunday October 3, 14:00
Live on BT Sport 4
Udinese have suffered defeats in each of their last three matches, and they’ve looked extremely poor while doing so. They have been losing at both half time and full time in those encounters, and have also failed to score, while it should also be noted they have failed to win any of their last six away matches against Sampdoria. While results might not reflect it, the home side have looked much improved this term, with many positives to take from losses to Juve, Milan and Napoli.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 2-0 @ 3.613/5
Excitement in Verona?
Hellas Verona v Spezia
Sunday October 3, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra
These two teams arrive at this fixture sitting 14th and 17th respectively, but their matches have definitely been entertaining. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 18 of Spezia’s last 21 away games in Serie A, while Verona have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last four home matches. The Infogol model gives Hellas a 51% chance of victory but only a 23% chance of defeat, making it difficult to see beyond the home side emerging with all three points here.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Roma to rebound
AS Roma v Empoli
Sunday October 3, 17:00
Live on BT Sport Extra
Jose Mourinho will be looking to help his team bounce back from last weekend’s loss to Lazio, but they must be careful against a fearless Empoli side who have already beaten Juventus this season. However, Roma’s record at home is superb, the Giallorossi winning at both half time and full time in their last four home matches in Serie A while there have been over 2.5 goals scored in six of their last seven.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Fireworks at the Franchi
Fiorentina v Napoli
Sunday October 3, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 3
This could well be the most entertaining clash of the entire round, with table-topping Napoli looking to extend their perfect start to the season. Napoli have won their last seven away matches in Serie A and have scored at least two goals in each of them, while also leading at both HT and FT in six of those outings.
Yet a resurgent Fiorentina sit fifth in the table, losing to Roma and Inter but winning each of their other four Serie A matches this season. Expect a high scoring clash with plenty of excitement at both ends of the field, with their last five meetings at the Stadio Artemio Franchi seeing the two sides share no fewer than 18 goals.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-2 @ 12.011/1
Milan malaise?
Atalanta v AC Milan
Sunday October 3, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
While it is understandable that Milan were angered by their loss to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League, it is impossible to ignore the impact that the defeat appeared to have on Stefano Pioli. Seeing the Coach lose his head on the field after the final whistle is hardly ideal preparation for facing an Atalanta side who are on a three-match unbeaten run in Serie A. The Infogol model gives the home side a 47% chance of victory and just a 28% chance of defeat.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back the 2-1 @ 8.07/1
Source: Betfair Italian