Chloe uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action resumes in Italy’s top flight.
Genoa sit 18th in the table and have won just one of their last 29 Serie A matches. That is hardly ideal form at any time, let alone when you’re facing a trip to San Siro where the league leaders await.
Inter seek to maintain fine away record
Spezia v Inter
Friday April 15, 18:00
Live on BT Sport 2
According to the Infogol model, Spezia have just a 14% chance of winning here as Inter seek to extend their 10-match unbeaten run in away matches. The Nerazzurri have also kept clean sheets in six of their last eight league games, one of a number of factors hinting at a low scoring game.
It is worth noting that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in eight of Inter’s last 10 away games in Serie A, while Spezia have seen under that same total in five of their last six.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Inter to win 2-0 @ 6.05/1
Genoa need points
AC Milan v Genoa
Friday April 15, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Genoa sit 18th in the table and are four points from safety after winning just one of their last 29 Serie A matches. That is hardly ideal form at any time, let alone when you’re facing a trip to San Siro where the league leaders await, Milan currently on a 10-match unbeaten run of their own.
The Rossoneri have kept a clean sheet in each of their last five matches and have seen under 2.5 goals scored in each of their last six, leading the Infogol model to giving them just a 13% chance of defeat.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Milan to win 2-0 @ 5.59/2
Sassuolo to add to Sardinian struggles
Cagliari v Sassuolo
Saturday April 16, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 3
This could prove to be a tough encounter for the home side, who have lost their last five Serie A matches, a run which means they now sit just four points outside the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Sassuolo have lost just one of their last nine matches, and have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 17 of their last 19 away games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Sassuolo to win 2-1 @ 9.08/1
Sorry sides meet in Genoa
Sampdoria v Salernitana
Saturday April 16, 13:30
Live on BT Sport Extra 2
Something has to give here as Salernitana have failed to win any of their last 11 matches, but Sampdoria have lost five of their last six in Serie A. It could well be a low scoring affair too as there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Sampdoria’s last three games, while the visitors have conceded at least two or more goals in their last three away outings.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Sampdoria to win 1-0 @ 7.06/1
Tuscan troubles to continue
Udinese v Empoli
Saturday April 16, 13:30
Live on ESPN UK
This could be another tough afternoon for Empoli, with the Infogol model giving them just a 23% chance of winning. It is easy to see why after noting that the Tuscan side have failed to score in each of their last five away matches, and have failed to win any of their last 15 matches in Serie A.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Udinese to win 1-0 @ 7.513/2
Another Viola victory?
Fiorentina v Venezia
Saturday April 16, 15:30
Live on ESPN UK
This is potentially a one-sided clash, with Venezia slumping to 19th in the table after recording six consecutive defeats. It is worth noting that in their last three away games they have been drawing at half-time before going on to lose, and it is no surprise to see the Infogol model give them just a 12% chance of winning at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Fiorentina have been superb there, losing just one of their last 12 on home soil, and it is also worth noting that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in each of their last four outings there.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Fiorentina to win 2-0 @ 6.511/2
Back the Bianconeri to beat Bologna
Juventus v Bologna
Saturday April 16, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 3
They may have won at home against Sampdoria on Monday, but the Infogol model gives Bologna – who have failed to win any of their last six away matches – just a 14% chance of winning this clash in Turin.
That should be no surprise given that Juventus have lost just once in their last 18 Serie A matches, but this could still be a low scoring encounter given that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Juve’s last 11 home games as well as in each of Bologna’s last six matches overall.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Juventus to win 2-0 @ 5.59/2
Style clash in the capital
Lazio v Torino
Saturday April 16, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 3
This clash should be a huge contrast in styles between Maurizio Sarri’s free scoring Lazio and the tough-to-beat Torino side that Ivan Juric has crafted. The home side have lost just two of their last 28 matches at the Stadio Olimpico, and have seen over 2.5 goals in 16 of their last 19 outings.
Meanwhile, Toro have only won one of their last 10 games, and have seen under 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 14 matches in Serie A.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Lazio to win 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Goals to rain in Naples
Napoli v AS Roma
Monday April 18, 18:00
Live on BT Sport 2
A huge clash here as Napoli – still reeling from last weekend’s surprising loss to Fiorentina – take on a Roma side who are on an 11-match unbeaten run. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in each Napoli’s last four games, with Luciano Spalletti’s men netting two or more themselves in each of those clashes.
The Infogol model gives Napoli just a 42% chance of winning this clash, so the tip here is to back a draw.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back a 2-2 draw @ 12.011/1
Two struggling sides clash
Atalanta v Hellas Verona
Monday April 18, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 2
These two sides are both struggling somewhat, both notching just one win in their last five Serie A games. It is worth noting that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Verona’s last three away outings, while the Gialloblu are also winless in their last five games on the road.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Atalanta to win 1-0 @ 8.07/1
Source: Betfair Italian
