West Ham can make another fast start
Leeds 2.3211/8 v West Ham 3.39/4; The Draw 3.814/5
Friday 11 December, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
“West Ham have opened the scoring in each of their last six Premier League games – only once have they scored the first goal in more consecutive Premier League matches (seven between February-April 2002).”
Low-scoring match likely
Wolves 2.3811/8 v Aston Villa 3.412/5; The Draw 3.412/5
Saturday 12 December, 12:30
Live on BT Sport 1
“Wolves have conceded fewer home goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (5). Indeed, they’ve kept eight clean sheets in their last 12 Premier League games at Molineux.”
Three points for Newcastle
Newcastle 2.226/5 v West Brom 3.711/4; The Draw 3.55/2
Saturday 12 December, 15:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
“West Bromwich Albion have conceded the most goals (23), have the highest expected goals against total (22.2), faced the most shots (167) and shots on target (68) in the Premier League this season.”
Value with underdogs in derby
Manchester United 4.57/2 v Manchester City 1.824/5; The Draw 4.3100/30
Saturday 12 December, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
“Manchester United won both Premier League meetings with Manchester City last season – they last won three in a row in the competition against their local rivals between November 2008-April 2010 (four wins).”
Everton will lose again
Everton 4.57/2 v Chelsea 1.834/5; The Draw 4.1
Saturday 12 December, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 1
“Everton have lost their last two Premier League home games (v Man Utd and Leeds) – they’ve not lost three in a row at home since March 2016, while manager Carlo Ancelotti hasn’t lost three consecutive home league games since November 2006 with Milan.”
Saints will go marching in
Southampton 1.84/5 v Sheffield United 5.24/1; The Draw 4.03/1
Sunday 13 December, 12:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
“Southampton have won six of their opening 11 games in the Premier League this season – only in 2014-15 (8) have they picked up more victories in their opening 11 games of a top-flight campaign.”
Spurs can spark at Palace
Crystal Palace 4.94/1 v Tottenham 1.784/5; The Draw 4.03/1
Sunday 13 December, 14:15
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
“Crystal Palace have lost 18 of their last 22 home Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top-four of the league (W1 D3), with their only win in that run coming in Roy Hodgson’s first win as Eagles boss in October 2017 against Chelsea.”
For a side that are top of the Premier League, 1.784/5 is pretty generous for a Spurs victory.
Liverpool will keep pace at the top
Fulham 9.617/2 v Liverpool 1.341/3; The Draw 6.25/1
Sunday 13 December, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
“Liverpool have won their last 18 Premier League matches against newly-promoted teams – in top-flight history only Chelsea (27 between October 2002 and November 2006) have had a longer winning run against newly-promoted teams.”
Low-scoring sides meet
Arsenal 1.68/13 v Burnley 7.06/1; The Draw 4.216/5
Sunday 13 December, 19:15
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
“Burnley have netted just five goals in 10 Premier League games this season, the second time they’ve scored five or fewer after 10 games in a season in the Premier League (also five in 2014/15).”
With Arsenal also struggling to score goals, under 2.5 goals should be backed at 1.9620/21.
Vardy can continue scoring
Leicester 2.111/10 v Brighton 3.953/1; The Draw 3.613/5
Sunday 13 December, 19:15
Live on Amazon Prime Video
“Since Brendan Rodgers’ first Premier League match in charge of Leicester in March 2019, Jamie Vardy has scored 41 Premier League goals, eight more than any other player in the division in this time.”
Against a defence as leaky as Brighton’s Vardy is value at 1.9520/21 to score.
Source: Betfair Premier League
