Arsenal need a win over Newcastle as they chase a fifth placed finish. Opta rates their chances.
“Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored in each of his last four Premier League games for Arsenal. The last player to score in five in a row for the Gunners was Olivier Giroud in April 2015 (6).”
Newcastle have lost each of their last 10 Premier League games against Arsenal, since a 0-0 draw in August 2011. Only against Man City (12, 2009-2015) have they had a longer losing streak in top-flight history. Arsenal are [2.3] to win.
Indeed, Arsenal’s run of 10 wins in a row against the Magpies is their third best winning streak in top-flight history. Only against Man City (11, 1994-2004) and Middlesbrough (11, 1930-1935) have they had longer runs. Arsenal are [3.6] to win half-time/full-time.
The Magpies haven’t won a home league game against Arsenal since December 2005, drawing four and losing five since. A draw is [3.65].
Nine of Arsenal’s 26 Premier League wins against Newcastle have been by a 1-0 score line, including the last three in a row – the most they’ve beaten any other side by that score in the competition. They are [11.5] to win 1-0 again.
Newcastle earned 0.9 points-per-game in 2017 this season, compared to 1.73 in 2018 – the biggest positive differential between the years in the Premier League in 2017-18 (0.83). They are [3.3] to earn another three points with a win.
Arsenal have earned just 24% of their Premier League points in away games this season (13/54), the lowest share in the division – they’re the only side yet to pick up a single away point in 2018. Newcastle are [1.74] in the Double Chance market.
Indeed, the Gunners have lost each of their last four away league games. They last lost five in a row in the top-flight back in December 1984 – a run which ended with victory at St James’ Park. Newcastle are [2.4] Draw No Bet.
Newcastle haven’t won four straight Premier League games since a run of five in November 2014 under Alan Pardew. The draw half-time/Newcastle full-time double result is [7.2].
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored in each of his last four Premier League games for Arsenal. The last player to score in five in a row for the Gunners was Olivier Giroud in April 2015 (6). Aubameyang is [2.0] to score.
Danny Welbeck’s two goals against Southampton took his tally to five in the Premier League this season – his best return in an Arsenal shirt. Welbeck is [3.3] to find the net.
Dan Fitch 2017/18 Season P/L
Staked: 448.00 pts
Returned: 464.37 pts
P/L: +16.37 pts
Source: Betfair Premier League