Only goal difference separates Brighton and Burnley. Opta tries to prise them apart.
Brighton are winless in their last seven league meetings with Burnley (D5 L2). The draw is [3.45].
Burnley won this exact fixture 3-1 last season – they’ve never won back-to-back away league games against Brighton. A Burnley win is [3.9].
Burnley are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games on the south coast (W4 D2), winning 3-1 against Bournemouth and Brighton in their last two. You can back them at [2.72] in the Draw No Bet market.
Brighton haven’t scored more than once in any of their last 14 Premier League home games (eight goals in total) and are winless in their last seven at the Amex Stadium (D2 L5). Under 2.5 goals is [1.82].
Brighton have picked up just 15 points in 22 Premier League matches in 2019 (W3 D6 L13), eight fewer than any other side to have played in the top-flight in 2018-19 and 2019-20. Burnley are [1.81] to avoid defeat in the double chance market.
Brighton’s Leandro Trossard and Neal Maupay have combined to create six chances for one another in the Premier League this season – the only duo to combine for more are Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne and Sergio Agüero (seven). Maupay is [3.0] to score.
Although they lost 4-0 at Man City, Brighton’s possession of 46.5% was the fourth-highest by an away league side against a top-flight side managed by Pep Guardiola in his career and most since Liverpool had 50.4% in January 2019. A Brighton win is [2.2].
Ashley Barnes has attempted 31% of Burnley’s shots at goal in the Premier League this season (15 of 48) – only Norwich’s Teemu Pukki has had a higher percentage of his team’s shots (14/41, 34%). Barnes is [3.4] to find the net.
Source: Betfair Premier League
