NTT20 Podcast Saturday Acca: Fulham to finish off in style in 33-1 treble

“Alexsandar Mitrovic, for example, will be desperate to add to his remarkable 43-goal tally, while wonderkid Fabio Carvalho will be keen to put on a show in his last game for the club…”

Blades to be blunted in play-off hunt

Final day prices often factor in motivation more than team form or quality, and sometime the line can move too far and throw up some value, and that looks to be the case at Brammall Lane on Saturday.

Fulham beat Luton 7-0 on Monday as they were crowned Champions, yet come into this game as the 5/2 outsiders, with the narrative being that they have spent the last week celebrating rather than training.

It may not be so simple though, as a couple of Fulham’s star men still have good reason to be at their best. Alexsandar Mitrovic, for example, will be desperate to add to his remarkable 43-goal tally, while wonderkid Fabio Carvalho will be keen to put on a show in his last game for the club ahead of his likely move to Liverpool in the summer.

With the shackles off, Fulham revelled in the Monday sunshine and will prove a stern test for a Sheffield United side knowing that they will have to beat the Champions to secure their own play-off berth without having too rely on Middlesbrough and Millwall doing them a favour.

They were fantastic in the second half against QPR on Friday, but went into the break behind and left it late to win the game against a far poorer side than the one they face here.

It would be no shock if Blades do win this but it’s rare that you get an opportunity to back the clearly better side at a price like 5/2, especially with clear reason to doubt whether the Fulham players will be happy to roll over, and some evidence that they might just enjoy the circumstances.

Semenyo a great price to score for Robins

Bristol City look to be enjoying their end to the season, with goals following them wherever they go. 3-1 and 5-0 wins over Derby and Hull in the last few weeks show a side that has found an attacking verve in recent weeks, and there is reason to think that they might enjoy themselves here again.

It’s guesswork trying to predict what kind of a side Carlos Corberan will put out, but with Huddersfield now preparing for the play-offs their is a fair chance that the priority is resting key players rather than picking up another three points.

This could be Antoine Semenyo‘s last game at the club, with Premier League sides sure to be enquiring over the summer and City needing to sell players to raise funds, and he will be looking to score for the third game in a row. He had eight shots against Derby and three against Hull and, given the way that Nigel Pearson’s side look to attack, there seems little reason why he won’t have more opportunities here.

Semenyo is 11/4 to score anytime, which grossly underrates his goalscoring potential, and there could just be some value in him to score two or more or even a hat-trick too at 19/1 and 200/1 respectively.

Cracking value on yet another Stags home win

Rob Edwards’ side will be desperate to win this game in an attempt to reclaim a League Two title that they thought was theirs. Having been top since the second weekend of the season, a poor run of form culminating in a home loss to lowly Harrogate saw Exeter climb above them with a draw at Northampton.

The issue for Forest Green is that their performances have been poor for weeks now. The well-oiled winning machine from the first three quarters of the season is a distant memory, with Matt Stevens’ injury causing a lack of firepower and any aura of defensive solidity has dissipated in a spate of porous displays.

Mansfield could win automatic promotion here with a win if other results go their way, and boast an incredible record of 13 home league wins in their last 14. Nigel Clough’s side come into this one looking like genuinely the better team, and recent home wins against Exeter and Northampton were arguably sterner tests than against this iteration of Forest Green.

Odds of 13/10 about the home team to do their part and send Forest Green into League One off the back of three consecutive defeats looks cracking value.