Chloe Beresford uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action resumes in Italy’s top flight.
Sardinians strive to survive
Cagliari v Hellas Verona
Saturday April 23, 14:00
Sitting just outside the relegation zone, Cagliari are desperate for points after picking up just one win in their last seven games. Only Salernitana have conceded more goals than the Sardinian side this season, while only four teams have scored more than Hellas Verona, despite their inconsistent form.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Hellas Verona to win 2-1 @ 10.09/1
Goalfest in Naples
Napoli v Sassuolo
Saturday April 23, 14:00
A stunning loss to Empoli last week has left Napoli trailing behind the top two, and allowed Juve to close the gap to them in third place. As Napoli prepare to take on a vibrant Sassuolo outfit on Saturday, the Infogol model gives them a 57% chance of taking all three points in what could be a high scoring affair.
There have been over 2.5 goals in seven of Sassuolo’s last eight games, while Napoli have seen over that same total in five of their last six.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Napoli to win 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Derby duel to avoid drop
Sampdoria v Genoa
Saturday April 23, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Sampdoria have a great chance to all but end their involvement in the relegation battle, and it comes at the expense of their city rivals Genoa. Samp go into this weekend sitting five points above the Grifone, who have failed to win any of their last 15 away matches and the Infogol model gives a 65% chance that there will be under 2.5 goals.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back a 1-1 draw @ 6.05/1
Lazio seek consistency
Spezia v Lazio
Saturday April 23, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
The Infogol model gives Spezia just a 24% chance of winning this clash, and it is worth noting that they have failed to record a victory in any of their last three matches.
Meanwhile, Lazio go into this weekend sitting sixth in the table and will be aware that they have won each of their last four encounters with their next opponents.
It could well be a high-scoring game too, with Lazio having seen over 2.5 goals scored in 17 of their last 21 matches in Serie A.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Lazio to win 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Juve to add to Venezia’s woe
Juventus v Venezia
Sunday April 24, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 1
Venezia have lost each of their last eight games, leading to the sacking of their manager earlier this week ahead of a meeting with Juventus who have lost just one of their last 20 Serie A fixtures.
That has led the Infogol model to give Venezia just a 7% chance of winning here, but expect a low scoring game as there have been under 2.5 goals scored in each of Juve’s last 12 home games.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Juventus to win 2-0 @ 6.05/1
Rossoneri driving for title
AC Milan v Fiorentina
Sunday April 24, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 3
Seeing Inter lose to Bologna in midweek has firmly put Milan in the driver’s seat for the Serie A title, Stefano Pioli’s side head into this round of games sitting two points clear at the top of the table.
They are unbeaten in their last 12 matches, and have kept a clean sheet in five of their last six, while it is important to note that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in each of Milan’s last six home games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back a 1-1 draw @ 7.06/1
Tough clash in Tuscany
Empoli v Torino
Sunday April 24, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 2
After recording their first win in almost five months, Empoli now take on a Torino side who drew 4-4 with Atalanta in midweek to maintain their five match unbeaten run.
Toro’s usually solid defence will be looking to reimpose it’s will on this game, with only four sides conceding fewer goals than Ivan Juric’s men this term.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Torino to win 1-0 @ 10.09/1
Nerazzurri need a win
Udinese v Inter
Sunday April 24, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Getting beaten by Bologna in midweek has seriously harmed Inter’s chances of retaining their title, and they will need to react quickly here. There could be goals in store too, with Udinese having seen over 2.5 goals in six of their last seven games, and in each of Inter’s last three.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Inter to win 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Roma to roll over Bologna
AS Roma v Bologna
Sunday April 24, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
The Infogol model gives Bologna just a 14% chance of winning this match, and recent results highlight just why that figure is so low. Roma have won each of their last three home matches, while Bologna have failed to win any of their last seven away games, and this could be a low-scoring clash too with the Rossoblu seeing under 2.5 goals scored in each of their last four away games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Roma to win 2-0 @ 6.511/2
Salernitana to surprise
Atalanta v Salernitana
Monday April 25, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 2
After drawing 4-4 with Torino in midweek, Atalanta face a Salernitana side who have won each of their last three matches to climb close to escaping the relegation zone at last. The Bergamaschi have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three home matches too, so there could be plenty of excitement in store here.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Salernitana to win 2-1 @ 26.025/1
Source: BetFair Tips