Chloe uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action resumes in Italy’s top flight…
Sassuolo have scored at least two goals in each of their last three matches in Serie A, a run that has seen them draw with Roma while beating Inter and Fiorentina.
Inter drought to end
Inter v Salernitana
Friday March 4, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2
After being held scoreless in their last four outings, Inter will be glad to welcome Serie A’s worst defence to San Siro on Friday evening. Salernitana sit rock bottom of the division, but have managed a draw in each of their last four games, a streak which includes a 2-2 stalemate with Milan. The Infogol model gives the visitors just a 5% chance of victory.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Inter to win 2-0 @ 6.05/1
Samp struggling
Udinese v Sampdoria
Saturday March 5, 14:00
Sampdoria have improved recently, winning two of their last four games, while Udinese have notched just one win in their last six games. Only goal difference separates these two in the table, and the arrival of Marco Giampaolo back on the ‘Doria bench should be enough to give them the edge here.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Sampdoria to win 2-1 @ 13.012/1
Can Roma keep rolling?
AS Roma v Atalanta
Saturday March 5, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Victory in December saw Roma end a seven-game winless streak against Atalanta, and Jose Mourinho’s side have looked much sharper of late, going undefeated over their last six league games.
But they have been made to fight for those results, and Atalanta will need to do just that as they look to end their own poor run of form. Last weekend’s win over Sampdoria was their first in six games, a patch that has allowed Roma to close the gap to them in 5th place as both sides seek a top four finish.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back a 2-2 draw @ 11.010/1
Cagliari v Lazio
Saturday March 5, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Cagliari have clawed their way out of the relegation zone and have not been beaten in their last five games, but Lazio will be seeking to bounce back from last weekend’s loss to Napoli as quickly as possible.
The Infogol model gives Maurizio Sarri’s men a 27% chance of losing this game, but after seeing over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 they should have too much firepower for the Sardinians.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Lazio to win 2-1 @ 8.07/1
Genoa going down?
Genoa v Empoli
Sunday March 6, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 1
It has been a tough season for Genoa, who have had four different managers but have managed just a single win in the entire campaign. They have also failed to score in seven of their last nine Serie A games, and Empoli – who sit 10 points and 12 places above them – should have no problems here.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Empoli to win 1-0 @ 10.09/1
Toro to bounce back
Bologna v Torino
Sunday March 6, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 1
The Torino attack has struggled of late, meaning Ivan Juric’s side have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 10 of their last 11 away games in Serie A. That has had a direct impact on their performances, with the Granata recording just one win in their last 10 matches on the road.
However, Bologna have been arguably struggling even more, and will be aware they have not beaten Torino at the Dall’Ara since January 2017.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Torino to win 1-0 @ 9.08/1
Furious clash at the Franchi
Fiorentina v Hellas Verona
Sunday March 6, 14:00
Live on ESPN UK
Two teams playing excellent football go head-to-head at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, with a clash of furious pressing on both sides sure to make for an entertaining afternoon. Verona have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches, but have conceded at least two in each of their last three away games too.
Meanwhile, Fiorentina have lost just one of their last six at home and will be seeking to keep up the pressure on the top four.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Fiorentina to win 2-1 @ 8.07/1
Sass to swing it
Venezia v Sassuolo
Sunday March 6, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 2
The Infogol model gives Venezia just a 22% chance of victory here, and it is easy to understand why given they have failed to win any of their last eight home games, while receiving a red card in three of their last five.
Meanwhile, Sassuolo have scored at least two goals in each of their last three matches in Serie A, a run that has seen them draw with Roma while beating Inter and Fiorentina.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Sassuolo to win a 3-1 @ 14.013/1
Juve just getting it done
Juventus v Spezia
Sunday March 6, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
The Infogol model gives Juventus just a 9% chance of losing this match, a direct result of the Bianconeri going undefeated over their last 13 league games.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in their last eight home games, and it is important to note that only three teams have scored fewer goals this season than Spezia.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Juventus to win 2-0 @ 5.59/2
Napoli v AC Milan
Sunday March 6, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Napoli are undefeated in their last 8 matches, a run that has seen them move to the top of Serie A. Yet while Milan are undefeated in their last six away matches in Serie A, their overall record gives a much clearer indication of their current form.
The Rossoneri have been held to draws in each of their last three games, and have actually managed just three wins in their last eight matches in all competitions.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Napoli to win 1-0 @ 7.513/2
Source: Betfair Italian