Chloe Beresford uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action resumes in Italy’s top flight.
La Viola have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of their last 11 games, and this fixture provides an ideal opportunity to put the departure of Dusan Vlahovic firmly behind them.
Lazio looking lively
Lazio v Bologna
Saturday February 12, 14:00
It seems Maurizio Sarri has finally got Lazio on track, with his side having kept a clean sheet in each of their last four matches. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of the Biancoclesti’s last 11 games in Serie A, while there have also been over 2.5 scored in six of Bologna’s last seven away outings.
Lazio are undefeated in 23 of their last 24 home games, so it is no surprise to see the Infogol model give them just a 19% chance of losing this encounter.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Lazio to win 3-0 @ 12.011/1
Huge stakes on Saturday night
Napoli v Inter
Saturday February 12, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
As first take on second, this is a huge game for both sides, with Inter arriving in surprisingly poor form. In their last three matches, Simone Inzaghi’s men have managed just one win, and that came against a struggling Venezia outfit as the Nerazzurri were held to a draw by Atalanta before last week’s loss to AC Milan.
Napoli are now just one point behind them in the table thanks to a four-game winning streak, with their defence – the league’s best – holding opponents to just 16 goals in their 24 games so far this term.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Napoli to win 2-1 @ 9.517/2
Toro to win again
Torino v Venezia
Saturday February 12, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
The Infogol model gives Torino a 63% chance of winning this match and just a 15% chance of defeat, and it is easy to see why. The Granata are undefeated in their last eight league games, while Venezia have failed to win any of their last 10 Serie A matches, a streak that has seen them drop into the relegation zone.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Torino to win 1-0 @ 6.05/1
Milan must keep winning
AC Milan v Sampdoria
Sunday February 13, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 2
After beating Inter, Milan must keep up the pressure on their crosstown rivals with a victory here, but they will be aware that Sampdoria look vastly improved under new boss Marco Giampaolo.
They have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last three away games, but there have been over 2.5 goals scored in five of Milan’s last six, so it will be up to the Rossoneri attack to maintain that standard.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Milan to win 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Cagliari to keep going?
Empoli v Cagliari
Sunday February 13, 14:00
Live on ESPN UK
Former Watford boss Walter Mazzarri has sparked a transformation at Cagliari, lifting them from last place to 17th, with the Sardinian side losing just one of their last five games. In contrast, Empoli have lost each of their last three home games, conceding four or more goals in each of those outings.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Cagliari to win a 1-2 @ 11.010/1
Relegation battle looms
Genoa v Salernitana
Sunday February 13, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 2
This has a real “six pointer” feel about it as rock bottom Salernitana visit the team just one place and two points above them in the table. Genoa have failed to win any of their last 21 matches in Serie A, and that is no surprise when noting they also failed to score in six of their last seven home games.
Meanwhile, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in Salernitana’s last seven games, with the visitors here earning an excellent 2-2 draw with Spezia last time out.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Salernitana to win 1-0 @ 12.011/1
Hellas happy at home
Hellas Verona v Udinese
Sunday February 13, 14:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Hellas have been excellent at the Stadio Bentegodi this season, with six of their nine wins so far coming on home soil, and Igor Tudor’s men have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of their last 13 games there.
With Udinese managing just one win in their last 10 away matches, this is likely to be a tough test for them.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Hellas Verona to win 2-0 @ 8.515/2
Roma to bounce back
Sassuolo v AS Roma
Sunday February 13, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 1
Two teams who have struggled in recent weeks go head-to-head here, with Sassuolo having won just two of their last 10 league games. Meanwhile, Roma will be looking to bounce back after drawing with Genoa last weekend and then losing to Inter in the Coppa Italia quarter finals on Tuesday.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 16 of Sassuolo’s last 18 games in Serie A, while Roma have seen over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last three away games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Roma to win 3-1 @ 13.012/1
Bianconeri to blossom in Bergamo
Atalanta v Juventus
Sunday February 13, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
The new look Juventus got off to a fine start as they beat Hellas Verona last week, meaning Max Allegri’s men have now extended their unbeaten run to 10 games. The Bianconeri have kept a clean sheet in five of their last seven games, and will be looking to add to Atalanta’s three match run without a win.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Juventus to win 1-0 @ 9.517/2
Spezia to struggle
Spezia v Fiorentina
Monday February 14, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
With just four teams conceding more goals than them so far this season, Spezia could well struggle to contain Fiorentina’s high flying attack on Monday evening. La Viola have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of their last 11 games, and this fixture provides an ideal opportunity to put the departure of Dusan Vlahovic firmly behind them.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Fiorentina to win 3-1 @ 14.013/1
Source: Betfair Italian
