Chloe uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action continues in Italy’s top flight.
As he takes on his former side, Simone Inzaghi will be happy that his Inter side are top of the Serie A table. They have won 23 of their last 25 home matches in Serie A, and have looked in impressive form as they have kept a clean sheet in each of their last six league games overall.
A goal fest on the cards
Empoli v Sassuolo
Sunday January 9, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 2
This could well be a hugely entertaining encounter at the Stadio Castellani as the ninth-placed hosts take on a side who sit three points and four places behind them. Both had surprising results in midweek as Empoli earned an impressive 3-3 draw with Lazio, but Sassuolo were held to a 1-1 stalemate by Genoa.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Sassuolo’s last 12 Serie A away games, while nine of Empoli’s last 10 home games have seen over 2.5 goals and there have also been over 2.5 goals scored in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Sassuolo to win 3-2 @ 18.017/1
Milan maintain pace
Venezia v AC Milan
Sunday January 9, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 1
The Infogol model gives Milan a 63% chance of victory here and just a 15% chance of defeat, with the Rossoneri proving in midweek that they have the quality to overcome a lengthy list of absentees.
Their win over Roma was hugely impressive, and it should also be noted that Stefano Pioli’s side have won 25 of their last 31 away matches in Serie A, while Venezia have been poor at home, winning just two of their nine matches so far this term.
It should also be noted that Milan have scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight away matches, and Venezia have conceded at least two in five of their last six home games.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Milan to win 1-2 @ 7.513/2
Tight clash in Sardinia
Cagliari v Bologna
Sunday January 9, 13:30
Live on BT Sport 3
This could be a cagey affair between two teams who had differing fortunes in midweek, with Cagliari beating Genoa while Bologna’s match with Inter was postponed. That win lifted the home side to 18th place, and they are now just three points away from escaping the relegation zone for the first time this season.
It is also worth noting that while Cagliari have won just one of their last 12 home games in Serie A, they have beaten Bologna in their last three home matches in all competitions.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Cagliari to win 1-0 @ 10.09/1
Torino are tough, Fiorentina are flying
Torino v Fiorentina
Sunday January 9, 13:30
Live on BT Sport 1
Torino have won five of their last six home matches in Serie A, but face a tough test as they welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico.
La Viola – who are currently on a five-match unbeaten run – have lost just one of their last 11 matches against Toro in all competitions, and a victory would keep them on pace for a return to European action.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Fiorentina to win 2-1 @ 9.517/2
Napoli too strong
Napoli v Sampdoria
Sunday January 9, 15:30
Live on BT Sport 3
The Infogol model gives Sampdoria just a 14% chance of victory here, a figure that reflects just how impressive Napoli have been this season. The fact Luciano Spalletti’s men managed a 1-1 draw away at Juventus in midweek despite a crippling list of absentees only further underlines that.
Samp have just one win in their last six games, while Napoli have won each of the last six meetings between these two sides and have scored at least two goals in their last eight home matches against Sampdoria in all competitions.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Napoli to win 2-0 @ 7.06/1
Atalanta to advance
Udinese v Atalanta
Sunday January 9, 15:30
Live on BT Sport Extra 2
Something has to give here as Atalanta are undefeated in their last 16 away matches in Serie A, while Udinese haven’t lost any of their last five home outings. However, the Zebrette haven’t won any of their last eight encounters with Sunday’s opponents, and have managed just two wins at home all season, while Atalanta are the best away side in Serie A, with eight wins and no defeats in their 10 games on the road so far this term.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Back Atalanta to win 3-1 @ 12.011/1
Mou under pressure
AS Roma v Juventus
Sunday January 9, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 1
Having watched an undermanned Milan beat Roma in midweek, Jose Mourinho is under pressure to arrest the slide of his underperforming team. However, a visit from Juventus is hardly likely to help, with the Bianconeri on a six-match unbeaten streak that has seen them record four 2-0 wins and two 1-1 draws.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Juventus to win 1-0 @ 9.08/1
Genoa v Spezia
Sunday January 9, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 3
Two of the favourites for relegation meet here in a must-win clash, with Genoa arriving at the 21st round of the season having failed to win any of their last 17 matches. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Spezia’s last three away games, and the Infogol model gives a 52% chance of there being under 2.5 goals here.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 1-1 draw @ 6.05/1
Hellas home form the key
Hellas Verona v Salernitana
Sunday January 9, 19:45
Live on BT Sport Extra 2
Despite sitting 10th in the Serie A table, Hellas Verona have been excellent at home, losing just two of their last nine matches at the Stadio Bentegodi. That does not bode well for their next opponents, rock bottom side Salernitana earning a total of just eight points from their first 18 games of the season.
They have also lost seven of their last eight matches and have failed to score in all but one of those games.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back the 2-0 @ 6.511/2
Huge clash at San Siro
Inter v Lazio
Sunday January 9, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
As he takes on his former side, Simone Inzaghi will be happy that his Inter side are top of the Serie A table. They have won 23 of their last 25 home matches in Serie A, and have looked in impressive form as they have kept a clean sheet in each of their last six league games overall.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Lazio’s last seven away games, with their midweek draw at Empoli ending 3-3 as Maurizio Sarri’s men fought back from 0-2 down to rescue a point. The Infogol model gives Inter a 60% chance of winning here.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Back Inter to win 2-0 @ 7.513/2
Source: Betfair Italian