Using data from Infogol, Chloe Beresford provides scoreline predictions from Serie A as the action continues in Italy’s top flight.
Having failed to win in Serie A, Juventus were finally able to notch their first victory of the season in midweek and will hope to take all three points against AC Milan on Sunday.
Massive mid-table matchup
Sassuolo v Torino
Friday September 17, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 3
Sitting ninth and 11th respectively, one of these two sides can make a massive leap up the table with a victory here. Torino may have beaten Salernitana 4-0 last weekend, but they are winless in their last five Serie A away games while recording five draws and one defeat in their last six visits to the Mapei Stadium.
Meanwhile, Sassuolo have lost just one of their last 10 homes games and are expected to emerge with another three points from this Friday night clash.
Back the 2-1 @ 7.513/2
Can La Viola keep winning?
Genoa v Fiorentina
Saturday September 18, 14:00
Despite losing to AS Roma on the opening weekend, Fiorentina are enjoying a fine start to the new campaign. They have notched wins over Atalanta and Torino, looking revitalised under Coach Vincenzo Italiano and will be brimming with confidence as they head to Marassi on Saturday afternoon. Genoa have lost their last three home matches, and the expectation is that that streak will continue as Fiorentina seek to end a long run of away games in which they have failed to beat the Grifone.
Back the 1-2 @ 8.515/2
Champions march on?
Inter v Bologna
Saturday September 18, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 3
Inter Milan have won four of their last six matches as new boss Simone Inzaghi continues to impress, while Bologna have managed just two victories in their last six and look likely to be out of their depth here. The Infogol model predicts a 72% chance of a win for Inter and only a 10% chance that Bologna will take the three points.
Back the 2-0 @ 7.513/2
Bergamaschi bounce back?
Salernitana v Atalanta
Saturday September 18, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Despite struggling recently, the Infogol model predicts a 68% chance that Atalanta will win this clash at the Stadio Arechi. The hosts have lost their first three games, recording the worst ever start to a Serie A season as they have conceded 11 goals while scoring just two, losing each of their last two games by 4-0 scorelines. That is hardly ideal preparation for a meeting with Atalanta, the visitors having won each of their last three away games in the league and notable leading at both half time and full time in five of their last seven matches on the road.
Back the 0-2 @ 6.05/1
Lunchtime lessons
Empoli v Sampdoria
Sunday September 19, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 1
This is an interesting clash between two sides who have enjoyed some surprising results thus far. Empoli have held Juventus to a draw but lost to Venezia last time out, while Sunday’s visitors have earned draws with Sassuolo and Inter in their last two matches. The Infogol model shows this is likely to be an extremely tight contest, predicting a 38% chance of a win for Empoli and a 34% chance that Sampdoria will win.
Back the 1-1 @ 6.511/2
Huge relegation battle
Venezia v Spezia
Sunday September 19, 14:00
Live on BT Sport 3
Spezia have conceded at least two goals in nine of their last 10 away matches in Serie A, failing to win any of those encounters. However, Venezia have struggled this season too, losing to Napoli (2-0) and Udinese (3-0) but will hope last weekend’s victory at home against Empoli can spark them into better form. The Infogol model shows this is likely to be a low scoring encounter, but the tip is to back the away side to emerge with all three points at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo.
Back the 0-1 @ 10.09/1
Sarri to beat sorry Sardinians?
Lazio v Cagliari
Sunday September 19, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 3
After a draw with Spezia was followed by losses to Milan and Genoa, Cagliari sacked their manager this week. They have ditched the talented Leonardo Semplici in favour of Walter Mazzarri, hoping the experience of the former Watford boss will be enough to keep them in the top flight. He faces an extremely difficult task this weekend however, Lazio winning two of their three league games so far this term and outscoring their opponents by heavily as they did so and the Infogol model gives them a 59% chance of victory here.
Back the 3-0 @ 10.09/1
Mou agony for Gialloblu?
Hellas Verona v AS Roma
Sunday September 19, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Just like Cagliari, Hellas Verona – who have failed to win any of their last 12 Serie A matches – changed manager this week, and new boss Igor Tudor could not have asked for a tougher challenge in his first match at the helm. Jose Mourinho and Roma have been unstoppable this season, scoring at least two goals in their last five matches and notching three comfortable league wins.
Back the 1-3 @ 13.012/1
Massive clash in Turin
Juventus v AC Milan
Sunday September 19, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Having failed to win in Serie A, Juventus were finally able to notch their first victory of the season in midweek as they began their Champions League campaign by taking all three points against Malmo. Milan, who beat the Bianconeri in Turin as recently as May, will be hoping to repeat that performance, but the Infogol model gives Juve a 53% chance of winning a match that could reignite their title hopes.
Back the 1-0 @ 8.07/1
Monday night delight
Udinese v Napoli
Monday September 20, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Napoli have been superb to watch this season, Luciano Spalletti hitting the ground running as his new side play exactly the kind of free-flowing attacking football we’ve come to expect from the former Inter and Roma boss. Meanwhile, Udinese have enjoyed a kind start to 2021/22, drawing 2-2 with Juve before notching easy wins over Spezia and Venezia who are both among the relegation candidates this term. Napoli have won each of their last five away league games and have scored at least two goals in each of those outings, a record you should back them to maintain here.
Back the 1-2 @ 8.07/1
Source: BetFair Tips
