Kane can provide Son again
Martial to open his account
Manchester United vs West Brom
Saturday, 20:00
Goalscorer: Anthony Martial to score anytime @ 9/5
Anthony Martial had arguably the best season of his career last term, scoring 17 Premier League goals from 11.74 xG, seemingly finally delivering on his vast potential. However, mainly due to a three-match ban, the Frenchman has endured a torrid start this time around and is yet to score in the league for United. Fortunately for Martial, he has the perfect opportunity to get off the mark here, with West Brom visiting Old Trafford. The Baggies have been truly abysmal since their return to the first division, conceding an average of 1.97 xGA per game – no team in the league has a worst defensive process. Martial can open his account against Slaven Bilić’s side, in what could be a much-needed confidence boost for the forward.
Carded: Jake Livermore to be booked @ 11/4
It’s a fair assumption West Brom will be tasked with fending off relentless waves of Manchester United pressure here, and therefore it seems likely the visitors will get a few names in the book. Jake Livermore could be overrun in midfield, and it makes sense to side with him to receive a caution, having already picked up two yellows this campaign.
Same Game Multi: Manchester United to win and BTTS ‘no’ @ 2.0621/20
While Manchester United looked calamitous in defence at the start of the season, they’ve actually made great improvements since the penultimate international break, conceding an average of 0.81 xGA per game across eight matches. Three of those astute defensive performances came against Chelsea, PSG and RB Leipzig therefore it’s likely West Brom will lack the quality to make their presence felt. The Red Devils can take advantage of this and win in style with minimal fuss.
No Salah, no problem
Liverpool vs Leicester
Sunday, 19:15
Goalscorer: Diogo Jota to score anytime @ 7/5
Diogo Jota has hit the ground running at Anfield, making an instant impact. The Portuguese has already scored seven goals from 3.4 xG across nine games in the Premier League and Champions League, having only actually started on five occasions. With Mohamed Salah ruled out of this clash, the onus could fall to Jota (0.61 xG/avg match) to create some magic, and he can continue his brilliant start in what’s shaping up to be an interesting encounter, as Liverpool head into this game with a depleted squad.
Carded: James Milner to be booked @ 3/1
James Milner’s versality has rightly received plaudits over the years, but now at 34-years-old, his quality will be tested more than ever. Where Klopp asks Milner to play remains to be seen, but the Englishman’s lack of pace could be his undoing here against a youthful Leicester side, and backing him to receive a caution is a strong play at a big price.
Same Game Multi: Liverpool to win and Under 2.5 Goals @ 5.46
As touched upon, Liverpool will have to field a makeshift backline here, and while this is a concern, there’s a reason for optimism. While Jamie Vardy (0.45 non-pen xG/avg match) may be difficult to contain, the Foxes haven’t been as threatening in attack as it may seem, with 44% of their xG coming via penalties. Considering Liverpool’s injury crisis, I can see this game being tightly contested, and at a price the champions are worth sticking with to just prevail.
Source: Betfair Premier League
