Football Tips: Our experts’ best bets this weekend

This should be a good game on Saturday evening, with Marcelo Bielsa’s free-scoring Leeds taking on a Manchester City side with a point to prove following last weekend’s defeat to Leicester.

Mark says: “Bielsa admits his side are scoring at an unsustainable rate, but the home side are well capable of staying competitive here.”

Back Leeds +1.5 & +2.0 Asian Handicap at 1.78 in Leeds v Manchester City

As the Premier League heads into GW4 Jake Osgathorpe uses expected goals (xG) to assess the likely winners and scorelines of each match.

He says: “The Reds should prove too strong on Sunday, with goals expected as the Liverpool front line look electric. We do think Villa will notch though.”

Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Back 1-3 @ [12.0]

Dan Fitch runs through the Premier League Opta Stats for every match this weekend and recommends a bet for each.

He says: “Liverpool’s Sadio Mané has scored six goals in his six Premier League games against Aston Villa, only scoring more against Crystal Palace (9) and Arsenal (7) in the competition.”

Back Sadio Mane to score for Liverpool against Aston Villa at [2.1]

Alex Keble picks out four key tactical battles from the fourth weekend of the 2020/21 Premier League season, including why Spurs could take all three points at Man Utd.

He says: “Solskjaer’s inability to coach attacking patterns leaves his team looking lethargic and creatively inept whenever they face a deep-lying opponent. Without set moves stored in muscle memory, their free improvisations are sluggish against a rigid defensive blockade.”

Back Spurs to beat Man Utd at 29/10

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides La Liga result and scoreline predictions for this weekend matches.

“Real Madrid were made to work for their midweek win, with Vinícius Júnior coming off the bench to score the only goal against Valladolid, and opponents Levante were one of only a handful of sides to stop Zidane’s men scoring last season.”

Levante v Real Madrid: Back the 0-2 @ [8.80]

Borussia Dortmund have had a difficult week, and Kevin Hatchard doesn’t reckon their game against Freiburg will be plain sailing.

“Dortmund have conceded five goals in two games in the last few days, and Freiburg have made a bright start to the season.”

Back Both Teams To Score in Borussia Dortmund v Freiburg at [1.84]

French football expert James Eastham picks bets for two standout games this weekend and makes the case for St Etienne.

“Manager Claude Puel has made some bold decisions to create a youthful St Etienne side and even without departing £30 million centre-back Wesley Fofana the visitors ought to be strong enough to avoid defeat.”

Best Bet: Back St Etienne +0&+0.5 Asian Handicap at Lens @ [2.2]

Serie A gets the Infogol treatment as Tom uses Expected Goals (xG) data to predict the outcomes of this weekend’s action – remember you can watch matches from Italy’s top flight on Betfair Live Video.

He says: “Andrea Pirlo has his first big test at the Juventus Stadium, welcoming a Napoli side coming off a 6-0 win against Genoa.”

Juventus v Napoli – Back the 2-1 @ 7/1

Source: BetFair Tips