Football Bet of the Day: There’s value in Venezuela

After a successful trip to Brazil yesterday, Tobias Gourlay’s locked onto a knockout match in Venezuela this evening

Deportivo Tachira v Estudiantes de Merida
Wednesday 23:00

Defences went up in flames in Brazil last night as Atletico GO and Avai drew 2-2 to land our goals bet. We’re staying in South America tonight.

Venezuela’s Primera Division is in its final stages and one of this evening’s quarter-final second legs could deliver goals at an odds-against price on the Sportsbook.

Deportivo Tachira and Estudiantes de Merida drew the first leg 0-0, but neither side has a strong defence to protect their position in the tie. Hosts Tachira managed just one clean sheet in their last eight home games of the regular season. Just last month, the Gold and Blacks conceded eight times in three appearances at Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo Stadium, including a 2-3 defeat to tonight’s visitors.

Home and away, visiting Estudiantes saw both teams score in each of their last 10 regular-season matches. On the road, they have conceded in 12/13. Ten of those 13 matches delivered Over 2.5 Goals in total as the Academics scored themselves in 12/13. With 9/13 Tachira home games also getting to Over 2.5 Goals, we like the odds-against price on another high scorer this evening.

2018 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 144pts
Returned: 155.77pts
P/L: +11.77pts

Source: BetFair Tips